Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction — Championship · Sun 13 Sept · 12:00 UK

Championship · Sun 13 Sept · 12:00 UK
Sheffield United 34Draw 27Wolverhampton Wanderers 39
The call
66%
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw
2.7
Goals expected
14d 06hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Wolverhampton Wanderers to score76%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Sheffield United to score73%
Under 3.5 goals71%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Sheffield United
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Patrick Bamford
FW · 2.5 shots expected
92%
74%
39%
Danny Ings
FW · 2.4 shots expected
91%
56%
20%
Gustavo Hamer
MF · 2.2 shots expected
88%
47%
14%
Thomas Cannon
FW · 2.1 shots expected
87%
55%
19%
Tyrese Campbell
FW · 2.0 shots expected
86%
49%
15%
Andre Brooks
MF · 1.7 shots expected
82%
40%
9%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W D D W D D
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SHE 1 · D 0 · WOL 4
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Feb 2024Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 Sheffield United
Nov 2023Sheffield United 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Jan 2022Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–0 Sheffield United
Apr 2021Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 Sheffield United
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Common questions

Who will win Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler's model rates this match: Wolverhampton Wanderers are favoured (39% win probability vs 34% for Sheffield United, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Sheffield United 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers (12.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.72.

How does Bawler predict Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Sheffield United 34%, the draw 27% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 39%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.30 and away expected goals 1.42.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.72. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Sheffield United form →Wolverhampton Wanderers form →