Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Sheffield United 1–0. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Sheffield United had 6 shots (2 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 16 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Sheffield United 1–0. Bawler's model had Wolverhampton Wanderers in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Sheffield United had 6 shots (2 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 16 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.7.
Sheffield United 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sheffield United 33%, the draw 27% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 39%.
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.7, Shots 6–16, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 4–14, Big chances 1–1, Corners 0–9, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 0–1, so Sheffield United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw 67%, it finished Wolverhampton Wanderers won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.