How it finished
Atlético Madrid beat Sevilla 3–1. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Sevilla had 21 shots (5 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 12 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.9, so Sevilla created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid beat Sevilla 3–1. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Sevilla had 21 shots (5 on target) to Atlético Madrid's 12 (5), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.9, so Sevilla created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?
Sevilla 1–3 Atlético Madrid, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sevilla 33%, the draw 26% and Atlético Madrid 41%.
What were the stats in Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.9, Shots 21–12, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–2, Saves 2–4, Fouls 20–16, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?
Yes — both Sevilla and Atlético Madrid scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atlético Madrid 41%, it finished Atlético Madrid (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.