Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction — MLS · Fri 2 Oct · 02:30 UK

MLS · Fri 2 Oct · 02:30 UK
65Seattle Sounders FC win20Draw15Sporting Kansas City win
Our call before kickoff
65%
Seattle Sounders FC to win
Landed
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Seattle Sounders FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 21 shots (7 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 22 (11), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.0, so Sporting Kansas City created the better chances and still lost the game.

Seattle…Full-time statsSporting…
59%Possession41%
1.7Expected goals (xG)2.0
21Shots22
7Shots on target11
14Shots inside box11
2Big chances2
11Corners6
9Saves5
7Fouls4
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSeattle Sounders FC to win 65%Seattle Sounders FC won (65% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score58%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

We expected
2–1
10% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
2.3v1.0
3.3 in total
Both teams score
58%
Leans yes
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
2.3Goals1.0
21.7Shots12.0
7.0On target4.4
6.1Corners3.7
Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
1.1Goals0.5
9.8Shots5.3
3.1On target1.8
2.9Corners1.7
Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
1.2Goals0.6
11.8Shots6.7
4.0On target2.5
3.2Corners1.9

What we said the chances were

Seattle Sounders FC to score90%
2 or more goals85%
Goal before half-time78%
Sporting Kansas City to score64%

First half — what we expected

Seattle Sounders FC
65%
to score before half-time
Sporting Kansas City
37%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FCSporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
60%9+ shots13%
40%11+ shots<10%
77%2+ shots on target51%
37%4+ shots on target14%
73%2+ corners48%
33%4+ corners13%

League position

Sporting Kansas City in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Aug 2025Seattle Sounders FC 5–2 Sporting Kansas City
Jul 2025Sporting Kansas City 2–3 Seattle Sounders FC
Sept 2024Seattle Sounders FC 2–0 Sporting Kansas City
Jun 2024Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Full-time recap →
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Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Seattle Sounders FC form →Sporting Kansas City form →

Common questions

Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Seattle Sounders FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 21 shots (7 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 22 (11), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.0, so Sporting Kansas City created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Seattle Sounders FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 65%, the draw 20% and Sporting Kansas City 15%.

What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.0, Shots 21–22, Shots on target 7–11, Shots inside box 14–11, Big chances 2–2, Corners 11–6, Saves 9–5, Fouls 7–4, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Sporting Kansas City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC to win 65%, it finished Seattle Sounders FC won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.