SC Freiburg beat Schalke 04 2–1. SC Freiburg had 10 shots (4 on target) to Schalke 04's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.3.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
SC Freiburg beat Schalke 04 2–1. SC Freiburg had 10 shots (4 on target) to Schalke 04's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.3.
SC Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 62%, the draw 22% and Schalke 04 16%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.3, Shots 10–5, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 3–0, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 3–1, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both SC Freiburg and Schalke 04 scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.