SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 prediction — Bundesliga · Sun 11 Oct · 16:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sun 11 Oct · 16:30 UK
62SC Freiburg win22Draw16Schalke 04 win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

SC Freiburg beat Schalke 04 2–1. SC Freiburg had 10 shots (4 on target) to Schalke 04's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.3.

SC FreiburgFull-time statsSchalke 04
51%Possession49%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.3
10Shots5
4Shots on target1
7Shots inside box5
3Big chances0
7Corners2
0Saves3
11Fouls13
0Offsides5
3Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
We predicted
2–0
SC Freiburg to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.1v0.9
3.0 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
58%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

SC FreiburgSC FreiburgSchalke 04Schalke 04
2.1Goals0.9
26.9Shots9.2
10.0On target3.4
7.9Corners2.6
SC FreiburgSC FreiburgSchalke 04Schalke 04
0.9Goals0.4
12.8Shots4.2
4.5On target1.5
3.7Corners1.2
SC FreiburgSC FreiburgSchalke 04Schalke 04
1.1Goals0.5
14.1Shots5.0
5.5On target1.8
4.2Corners1.4

What we said the chances were

SC Freiburg to score87%
2 or more goals80%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer65%
Schalke 04 to score61%

First half — what we expected

SC Freiburg
61%
to score before half-time
Schalke 04
34%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

SC FreiburgSC FreiburgSchalke 04Schalke 04
58%12+ shots<10%
41%14+ shots<10%
63%4+ shots on target<10%
31%6+ shots on target<10%
67%3+ corners15%
32%5+ corners<10%

League position

Schalke 04 in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2023Freiburg 4–0 Schalke 04
Oct 2022Schalke 04 0–2 Freiburg
Apr 2021Freiburg 4–0 Schalke 04
Dec 2020Schalke 04 0–2 Freiburg
Jun 2020Freiburg 4–0 Schalke 04
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →SC Freiburg form →Schalke 04 form →

Common questions

Who won SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?

SC Freiburg beat Schalke 04 2–1. SC Freiburg had 10 shots (4 on target) to Schalke 04's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.3.

What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?

SC Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 62%, the draw 22% and Schalke 04 16%.

What were the stats in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.3, Shots 10–5, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 3–0, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 3–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?

Yes — both SC Freiburg and Schalke 04 scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.