San Diego FC vs FC Dallas
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals dominates at 81% probability because both sides project near-identical attacking threat—San Diego 1.52 xG, Dallas 1.53—forcing an evenly-matched offensive duel.
San Diego average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (28 competitive matches). Dallas average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
San Diego vs Dallas — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between San Diego and Dallas — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: San Diego 35% · draw 30% · Dallas 36%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.