Racing Santander vs Elche prediction — LaLiga · Fri 28 Aug · 18:00 UK

LaLiga · Fri 28 Aug · 18:00 UK
Racing Santander 48Draw 26Elche 26
The call
78%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2

How it finished

Racing Santander beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model had Racing Santander in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Racing Santander had 13 shots (6 on target) to Elche's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.

Racing…Full-time statsElche
40%Possession60%
1.5Expected goals (xG)1.1
13Shots18
6Shots on target7
9Shots inside box9
5Big chances1
5Corners10
5Saves3
17Fouls19
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultRacing Santander 48%Racing Santander (48% called)
Total goals2.85
Both teams to score56%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 78%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Racing Santander to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Elche to score69%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Racing SantanderBefore half-timeElche
52%Chance to score41%
6.6Expected shots3.6
1.7Expected shots on target1.6
0.5Expected corners2.0
63%Chance of 6+ shots17%
35%Chance of 8+ shots4%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
23%Chance of 3+ shots on target21%
34%Chance of 1+ corners85%
2%Chance of 3+ corners33%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 72%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5RAC 2 · D 1 · ELC 2
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2025Racing Santander 2–0 Elche
Dec 2024Elche 3–0 Racing Santander
May 2024Racing Santander 3–1 Elche
Sept 2023Elche 1–1 Racing Santander
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Racing Santander vs Elche?

Racing Santander beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model had Racing Santander in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Racing Santander had 13 shots (6 on target) to Elche's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Racing Santander vs Elche?

Racing Santander 3–2 Elche, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 48%, the draw 26% and Elche 26%.

What were the stats in Racing Santander vs Elche?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.1, Shots 13–18, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 5–1, Corners 5–10, Saves 5–3, Fouls 17–19, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Racing Santander vs Elche?

Yes — both Racing Santander and Elche scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Racing Santander vs Elche right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Racing Santander 48%, it finished Racing Santander (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Racing Santander form →Elche form →