FT · Spain: La Liga · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Barcelona 7–2 Racing SantanderMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Barcelona win
73%
Result
Draw
17%
Racing Santander win
10%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.6 – 0.9
Total 3.4
Actual
7 – 2
Total 9 (+5.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
6.7 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 5.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.