Preston North End vs Millwall prediction — Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
32Preston North End win25Draw43Millwall win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Millwall beat Preston North End 1–0. Preston North End had 12 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 11 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.

Preston North…Full-time statsMillwall
46%Possession54%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.1
12Shots11
1Shots on target3
7Shots inside box7
1Big chances2
4Corners4
2Saves1
8Fouls11
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Millwall win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.6
3.0 in total
Both teams score
60%
Yes
3+ goals
58%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Preston North EndPreston North EndMillwallMillwall
1.4Goals1.6
14.4Shots13.9
3.5On target4.3
5.2Corners4.2
Preston North EndPreston North EndMillwallMillwall
0.6Goals0.6
6.8Shots6.3
1.6On target1.9
2.4Corners2.0
Preston North EndPreston North EndMillwallMillwall
0.8Goals1.1
7.6Shots7.6
1.9On target2.4
2.7Corners2.2

What we said the chances were

Millwall to score80%
2 or more goals80%
Preston North End to score75%
Goal before half-time68%
3 goals or fewer64%

First half — what we expected

Preston North End
43%
to score before half-time
Millwall
43%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Preston North EndPreston North EndMillwallMillwall
62%6+ shots56%
38%8+ shots32%
75%1+ shots on target81%
23%3+ shots on target30%
87%1+ corners81%
42%3+ corners31%

League position

Millwall in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Preston North End 0–2 Millwall
Nov 2025Millwall 1–1 Preston North End
Feb 2025Preston North End 1–1 Millwall
Sept 2024Millwall 3–1 Preston North End
Jan 2024Millwall 1–1 Preston North End
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Preston North End form →Millwall form →

Common questions

Who won Preston North End vs Millwall?

Millwall beat Preston North End 1–0. Preston North End had 12 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 11 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Preston North End vs Millwall?

Preston North End 0–1 Millwall, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 32%, the draw 25% and Millwall 43%.

What were the stats in Preston North End vs Millwall?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.1, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–1, Fouls 8–11, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Preston North End vs Millwall?

No. It finished 0–1, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.