Millwall beat Preston North End 1–0. Preston North End had 12 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 11 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Millwall beat Preston North End 1–0. Preston North End had 12 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 11 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.
Preston North End 0–1 Millwall, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 32%, the draw 25% and Millwall 43%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.1, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–1, Fouls 8–11, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.