PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 13 Sept · 15:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 13 Sept · 15:45 UK
PEC Zwolle 19Draw 22Feyenoord Rotterdam 60
The call
81%
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw
3.2
Goals expected
14d 10hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Feyenoord Rotterdam to score88%
Over 1.5 goals83%
PEC Zwolle to score67%
Over 2.5 goals62%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

PEC Zwolle
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Koen Kostons
FW · 1.6 shots expected
80%
53%
17%
Thijs Oosting
MF · 1.4 shots expected
75%
44%
11%
Jamiro Monteiro
MF · 1.1 shots expected
67%
22%
3%
Shola Shoretire
FW · 1.0 shots expected
64%
40%
9%
Kaj de Rooij
MF · 1.0 shots expected
63%
29%
5%
Nick Fichtinger
MF · 0.8 shots expected
56%
24%
3%
Feyenoord Rotterdam
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Ayase Ueda
FW · 4.3 shots expected
99%
84%
55%
Sem Steijn
MF · 3.2 shots expected
96%
71%
35%
Anis Hadj Moussa
MF · 3.1 shots expected
96%
69%
33%
Leo Sauer
FW · 2.8 shots expected
94%
70%
34%
Quinten Timber
MF · 1.9 shots expected
86%
46%
13%
Jordan Bos
DF · 1.9 shots expected
85%
45%
12%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W L L L L W
Expected goals gap (xG)-1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5PEC 0 · D 0 · FEY 5
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

May 2026PEC Zwolle 0–2 Feyenoord
Dec 2025Feyenoord 6–1 PEC Zwolle
Apr 2025Feyenoord 4–0 PEC Zwolle
Aug 2024PEC Zwolle 1–5 Feyenoord
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Common questions

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler's model rates this match: Feyenoord Rotterdam are favoured (60% win probability vs 19% for PEC Zwolle, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is PEC Zwolle 1-1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (10.0% probability). Expected total goals: 3.20.

How does Bawler predict PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives PEC Zwolle 19%, the draw 22% and Feyenoord Rotterdam 60%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.10 and away expected goals 2.10.

Over or under 2.5 goals in PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Rotterdam?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.20. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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