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Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK
Le MansLe Mans
80Paris Saint-Germain win13Draw7Le Mans win
Full time
3–1

How it finished

Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Mans 3–1. Paris Saint-Germain had 22 shots (8 on target) to Le Mans' 11 (3), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 1.6.

Paris…Full-time statsLe Mans
73%Possession27%
4.1Expected goals (xG)1.6
22Shots11
8Shots on target3
13Shots inside box7
7Big chances4
4Corners4
2Saves5
3Fouls17
1Offsides5
0Yellow cards5
We predicted
2–0
Paris Saint-Germain to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.9v0.8
3.8 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
72%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-GermainLe MansLe Mans
2.9Goals0.8
26.4Shots8.6
10.3On target4.5
7.3Corners2.3
Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-GermainLe MansLe Mans
1.2Goals0.5
11.7Shots4.6
4.6On target2.6
3.4Corners1.1
Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-GermainLe MansLe Mans
1.7Goals0.3
14.7Shots4.0
5.7On target2.0
3.9Corners1.2

What we said the chances were

Paris Saint-Germain to score95%
2 or more goals89%
Goal before half-time83%

First half — what we expected

Paris Saint-Germain
71%
to score before half-time
Le Mans
42%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-GermainLe MansLe Mans
58%11+ shots<10%
39%13+ shots<10%
64%4+ shots on target27%
32%6+ shots on target<10%
81%2+ corners29%
43%4+ corners<10%

League position

Le Mans in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2025Le Mans 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain
Jul 2021Paris Saint-Germain 4–0 Le Mans
Dec 2019Le Mans 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain
Mar 2011Paris Saint-Germain 2–0 Le Mans
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Paris Saint-Germain form →Le Mans form →

Common questions

Who won Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Mans 3–1. Paris Saint-Germain had 22 shots (8 on target) to Le Mans' 11 (3), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Paris Saint-Germain 80%, the draw 13% and Le Mans 7%.

What were the stats in Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Full-time: Possession 73%–27%, Expected goals (xG) 4.1–1.6, Shots 22–11, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 7–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–5, Fouls 3–17, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 0–5.

Did both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?

Yes — both Paris Saint-Germain and Le Mans scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.