FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 October 2026
AJ Auxerre 1–1 Le MansMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AJ Auxerre win
49%
Draw
24%
Result
Le Mans win
27%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.3
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.