What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win Palestine vs New Zealand?
Bawler's model rates this match: Palestine are favoured (37% win probability vs 36% for New Zealand, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Palestine vs New Zealand?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Palestine 1-1 New Zealand (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.75.
How does Bawler predict Palestine vs New Zealand?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Palestine 37%, the draw 27% and New Zealand 36%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Palestine vs New Zealand?
BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.39 and away expected goals 1.36.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Palestine vs New Zealand?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.75. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).