Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026
New Zealand prediction: Bawler's model rates New Zealand at 1.02 expected goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They have lost 4 of their last 5 settled matches. No New Zealand fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
New Zealand are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.67 expected goals a game against a World Cup average of 1.38. They have struggled lately, losing 4 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on New Zealand have been correct 80% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How New Zealand compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →
When the model makes a high-confidence call on a New Zealand fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.