What we expect
Model inputs
Common questions
Who will win China vs Palestine?
Bawler's model rates this match: China are favoured (43% win probability vs 29% for Palestine, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for China vs Palestine?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is China 1-1 Palestine (13.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.63.
How does Bawler predict China vs Palestine?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives China 43%, the draw 27% and Palestine 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in China vs Palestine?
BTTS: Yes (53% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.47 and away expected goals 1.16.
Over or under 2.5 goals in China vs Palestine?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.63. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).