How it finished
Orlando City SC beat Toronto FC 3–0. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 13 shots (8 on target) to Toronto FC's 18 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 2.5, so Toronto FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?
Orlando City SC beat Toronto FC 3–0. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 13 shots (8 on target) to Toronto FC's 18 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 2.5, so Toronto FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?
Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 53%, the draw 24% and Toronto FC 23%.
What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.5, Shots 13–18, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 6–15, Big chances 5–3, Corners 4–3, Saves 4–5, Fouls 13–8, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?
No. It finished 3–0, so Toronto FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Orlando City SC or draw 77%, it finished Orlando City SC won (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Orlando City SC to win 53%, it finished Landed.