How it finished
Orlando City SC beat Columbus Crew 3–2. Orlando City SC had 20 shots (8 on target) to Columbus Crew's 27 (15), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 3.1, so Columbus Crew created the better chances and still lost the game.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
MLS table →Common questions
Who won Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
Orlando City SC beat Columbus Crew 3–2. Orlando City SC had 20 shots (8 on target) to Columbus Crew's 27 (15), with 47% of the ball against 53%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 3.1, so Columbus Crew created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
Orlando City SC 3–2 Columbus Crew, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 42%, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 34%.
What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–3.1, Shots 20–27, Shots on target 8–15, Shots inside box 13–18, Big chances 4–8, Corners 2–11, Saves 12–5, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew?
Yes — both Orlando City SC and Columbus Crew scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.