Norway vs Senegal
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 75% probability because Norway's Haaland and Senegal's Mané anchor a combined 2.79 xG with nearly even win odds (32% to 36%), guaranteeing attacking intent from both sides.
Norway average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Norway vs Senegal — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Norway and Senegal — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Norway 32% · draw 31% · Senegal 36%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.