Bawler / World: World Cup / Norway
Team profile · World: World Cup

Norway Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
9
9 settled
Goals for
1.32
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.49
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
89%
8/9 calls

Norway prediction: Bawler's model rates Norway at 1.32 expected goals scored and 1.49 conceded per match across 9 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 89% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Norway fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Norway sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.32 expected goals a game and conceding 1.49. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.67 a game against 1.32 expected. Across 9 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Norway have been correct 89% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 2D 3L
Real goals
1.7 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Norway compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.32
Below average
Goals against
1.49
Leakier than most
Scored1.32
Conceded1.49

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 88% of the time on Norway fixtures (7/8).

📊 Norway in numbers

6 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
🏠 1.7✈️ 2.7
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 7.0
🏠 4.5✈️ 4.0
10.3
Shots · per game
faced 15.5
🏠 11.5✈️ 9.0
5.0
On target · per game
faced 5.5
🏠 5.5✈️ 4.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
11 Jul
1-2
vs England
🚩 -
05 Jul
2-1
@ Brazil
🚩 5-5
30 Jun
2-1
@ Ivory Coast
🚩 3-14
26 Jun
1-4
vs France
🚩 4-5
23 Jun
3-2
vs Senegal
🚩 5-4
16 Jun
4-1
@ Iraq
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Norway matches
89%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 9

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Norway fixture, it is right 8 out of 9 (89%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 9)

Norway prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly