Bawler / World: World Cup / Senegal
Team profile · World: World Cup

Senegal Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
5 settled
Goals for
1.42
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.39
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
80%
4/5 calls

Senegal prediction: Bawler's model rates Senegal at 1.42 expected goals scored and 1.39 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Senegal fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Senegal sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.42 expected goals a game and conceding 1.39. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.42 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Senegal have been correct 80% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 1D 3L
Real goals
2.0 – 1.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Senegal compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.42
Above average
Goals against
1.39
Leakier than most
Scored1.42
Conceded1.39

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Senegal fixtures (4/5).

📊 Senegal in numbers

4 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.5
Goals · per game
let in 2.3
🏠 5.0✈️ 1.7
8.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.0
🏠 12.0✈️ 4.0
22.0
Shots · per game
faced 9.5
🏠 28.0✈️ 16.0
8.0
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 12.0✈️ 4.0
🗓️ Last 4 games
01 Jul
2-3
@ Belgium
🚩 -
26 Jun
5-0
vs Iraq
🚩 12-3
23 Jun
2-3
@ Norway
🚩 4-5
16 Jun
1-3
@ France
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Senegal matches
80%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Senegal fixture, it is right 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Senegal prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly