How it finished
Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Newcastle United at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Newcastle United had 8 shots (2 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 17 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Newcastle United at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Newcastle United had 8 shots (2 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 17 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Newcastle United 2–2 AFC Bournemouth, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Newcastle United 42%, the draw 24% and AFC Bournemouth 33%.
What were the stats in Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.5, Shots 8–17, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–3, Saves 4–0, Fouls 19–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Yes — both Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United or draw 67%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.