Napoli beat Frosinone 3–0. Napoli had 19 shots (8 on target) to Frosinone's 17 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.0.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Napoli beat Frosinone 3–0. Napoli had 19 shots (8 on target) to Frosinone's 17 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.0.
Napoli 3–0 Frosinone, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Napoli 53%, the draw 24% and Frosinone 22%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.0, Shots 19–17, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 4–0, Corners 6–4, Saves 1–5, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
No. It finished 3–0, so Frosinone failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.