Napoli vs Frosinone prediction — Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK
53Napoli win24Draw22Frosinone win
Full time
3–0

How it finished

Napoli beat Frosinone 3–0. Napoli had 19 shots (8 on target) to Frosinone's 17 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.0.

NapoliFull-time statsFrosinone
51%Possession49%
2.8Expected goals (xG)1.0
19Shots17
8Shots on target1
13Shots inside box9
4Big chances0
6Corners4
1Saves5
8Fouls12
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Napoli win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.8v1.1
2.9 in total
Both teams score
56%
Leans yes
3+ goals
56%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

NapoliNapoliFrosinoneFrosinone
1.8Goals1.1
24.0Shots16.7
6.6On target6.3
7.6Corners6.1
NapoliNapoliFrosinoneFrosinone
0.8Goals0.8
10.6Shots7.2
2.8On target3.1
3.6Corners2.9
NapoliNapoliFrosinoneFrosinone
1.0Goals0.3
13.4Shots9.5
3.8On target3.2
4.0Corners3.3

What we said the chances were

Napoli to score84%
Goal before half-time80%
2 or more goals79%
Frosinone to score67%
3 goals or fewer66%

First half — what we expected

Napoli
57%
to score before half-time
Frosinone
54%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

NapoliNapoliFrosinoneFrosinone
57%10+ shots23%
38%12+ shots11%
73%2+ shots on target77%
31%4+ shots on target37%
65%3+ corners52%
30%5+ corners19%

League position

Frosinone in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2024Napoli 2–2 Frosinone
Dec 2023Napoli 0–4 Frosinone
Aug 2023Frosinone 1–3 Napoli
Apr 2019Frosinone 0–2 Napoli
Dec 2018Napoli 4–0 Frosinone
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Napoli form →Frosinone form →

Common questions

Who won Napoli vs Frosinone?

Napoli beat Frosinone 3–0. Napoli had 19 shots (8 on target) to Frosinone's 17 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Napoli vs Frosinone?

Napoli 3–0 Frosinone, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Napoli 53%, the draw 24% and Frosinone 22%.

What were the stats in Napoli vs Frosinone?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.0, Shots 19–17, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 4–0, Corners 6–4, Saves 1–5, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Napoli vs Frosinone?

No. It finished 3–0, so Frosinone failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.