FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Genoa 1–1 FrosinoneMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Genoa win
45%
Draw
27%
Result
Frosinone win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 2.0
From the match itself
The match produced 0.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.