FT · Italy: Serie A · Thursday, 29 October 2026
Frosinone 5–1 LecceMatch recap · Thursday, 29 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Frosinone win
48%
Result
Draw
24%
Lecce win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.4
Total 3.2
Actual
5 – 1
Total 6 (+2.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.1 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 2.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.