FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Atalanta 4–4 FrosinoneMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Atalanta win
53%
Draw
23%
Result
Frosinone win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.3
Total 3.3
Actual
4 – 4
Total 8 (+4.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.9 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 4.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.