Motherwell vs Celtic prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sun 11 Oct · 12:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sun 11 Oct · 12:00 UK
26Motherwell win25Draw50Celtic win
Full time
0–2

How it finished

Celtic beat Motherwell 2–0. Motherwell had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celtic's 26 (15), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.

MotherwellFull-time statsCeltic
34%Possession66%
1.1Expected goals (xG)2.9
8Shots26
2Shots on target15
6Shots inside box20
3Big chances2
2Corners9
12Saves2
3Fouls4
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Celtic win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.3v1.8
3.0 in total
Both teams score
60%
Yes
3+ goals
59%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MotherwellMotherwellCelticCeltic
1.3Goals1.8
11.7Shots15.0
3.7On target10.3
4.5Corners10.8
MotherwellMotherwellCelticCeltic
0.6Goals0.9
5.3Shots6.9
1.7On target4.7
2.1Corners5.1
MotherwellMotherwellCelticCeltic
0.7Goals0.9
6.4Shots8.1
2.0On target5.6
2.4Corners5.7

What we said the chances were

Celtic to score83%
2 or more goals81%
Goal before half-time77%
Motherwell to score71%
3 goals or fewer64%

First half — what we expected

Motherwell
44%
to score before half-time
Celtic
59%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

MotherwellMotherwellCelticCeltic
43%6+ shots63%
21%8+ shots39%
11%4+ shots on target65%
<10%6+ shots on target33%
19%4+ corners70%
<10%6+ corners39%

League position

Celtic in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2026Motherwell 2–3 Celtic
Mar 2026Celtic 3–1 Motherwell
Dec 2025Motherwell 2–0 Celtic
Oct 2025Celtic 3–2 Motherwell
Feb 2025Motherwell 1–3 Celtic
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Motherwell form →Celtic form →

Common questions

Who won Motherwell vs Celtic?

Celtic beat Motherwell 2–0. Motherwell had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celtic's 26 (15), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.

What was the final score in Motherwell vs Celtic?

Motherwell 0–2 Celtic, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Motherwell 26%, the draw 25% and Celtic 50%.

What were the stats in Motherwell vs Celtic?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.9, Shots 8–26, Shots on target 2–15, Shots inside box 6–20, Big chances 3–2, Corners 2–9, Saves 12–2, Fouls 3–4, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Motherwell vs Celtic?

No. It finished 0–2, so Motherwell failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.