How it finished
Newcastle United beat Millwall 1–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Millwall had 9 shots (2 on target) to Newcastle United's 25 (6), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Millwall vs Newcastle United?
Newcastle United beat Millwall 1–0. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Millwall had 9 shots (2 on target) to Newcastle United's 25 (6), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.
What was the final score in Millwall vs Newcastle United?
Millwall 0–1 Newcastle United, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 21%, the draw 23% and Newcastle United 56%.
What were the stats in Millwall vs Newcastle United?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.8, Shots 9–25, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 8–17, Big chances 2–1, Corners 1–15, Saves 5–3, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Millwall vs Newcastle United?
No. It finished 0–1, so Millwall failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Millwall vs Newcastle United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United or draw 79%, it finished Newcastle United won (56% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.