How it finished
Coventry City beat Newcastle United 4–1. Coventry City had 9 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 19 (6), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.9, so Newcastle United created the better chances and still lost the game.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Around this fixture
Premier League table →Common questions
Who won Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Coventry City beat Newcastle United 4–1. Coventry City had 9 shots (6 on target) to Newcastle United's 19 (6), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.9, so Newcastle United created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Coventry City 4–1 Newcastle United, played on 12 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Coventry City 32%, the draw 25% and Newcastle United 42%.
What were the stats in Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.9, Shots 9–19, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 2–6, Saves 4–2, Fouls 3–10, Offsides 2–5, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Yes — both Coventry City and Newcastle United scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.