How it finished
Middlesbrough beat Norwich City 4–3. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 7. Middlesbrough had 17 shots (6 on target) to Norwich City's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Middlesbrough vs Norwich City?
Middlesbrough beat Norwich City 4–3. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 7. Middlesbrough had 17 shots (6 on target) to Norwich City's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Middlesbrough vs Norwich City?
Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich City, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Middlesbrough 54%, the draw 25% and Norwich City 21%.
What were the stats in Middlesbrough vs Norwich City?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.6, Shots 17–13, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 5–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–2, Fouls 13–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Norwich City?
Yes — both Middlesbrough and Norwich City scored, finishing 4–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Middlesbrough vs Norwich City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Middlesbrough or draw 79%, it finished Middlesbrough won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.