How it finished
Manchester City beat Coventry City 1–0. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Manchester City had 15 shots (4 on target) to Coventry City's 12 (3), with 78% of the ball against 22%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Manchester City vs Coventry City?
Manchester City beat Coventry City 1–0. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 70% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Manchester City had 15 shots (4 on target) to Coventry City's 12 (3), with 78% of the ball against 22%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Manchester City vs Coventry City?
Manchester City 1–0 Coventry City, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester City 70%, the draw 18% and Coventry City 12%.
What were the stats in Manchester City vs Coventry City?
Full-time: Possession 78%–22%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.2, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 14–8, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–5, Saves 3–2, Fouls 7–17, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Manchester City vs Coventry City?
No. It finished 1–0, so Coventry City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Manchester City vs Coventry City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester City to win 70%, it finished Manchester City won (70% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No.