Málaga vs Levante prediction — LaLiga · Sun 6 Sept · 17:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 6 Sept · 17:30 UK
Málaga 42Draw 26Levante 32
The call
42%
Málaga to win
2.9
Goals expected
13d 22hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Málaga or draw68%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
BTTS59%
Málaga win to nil21%
Levante or draw58%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Correct score 1–111%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5MAL 0 · D 2 · LEV 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2025Malaga 1–1 Levante
Nov 2024Levante 4–2 Malaga
Mar 2023Malaga 0–0 Levante
Dec 2022Levante 1–0 Malaga
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Common questions

Who will win Málaga vs Levante?

Bawler's model rates this match: Málaga are favoured (42% win probability vs 32% for Levante, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Málaga vs Levante?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Málaga 1-1 Levante (12.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.91.

How does Bawler predict Málaga vs Levante?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Málaga 42%, the draw 26% and Levante 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Málaga vs Levante?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.57 and away expected goals 1.34.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Málaga vs Levante?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.91. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Málaga form →Levante form →