Every market the model rates
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Lens vs Lorient?
Bawler's model rates this match: Lens are favoured (59% win probability vs 19% for Lorient, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Lorient?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Lens 1-1 Lorient (10.7% probability). Expected total goals: 3.02.
How does Bawler predict Lens vs Lorient?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Lens 59%, the draw 23% and Lorient 19%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Lens vs Lorient?
BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.98 and away expected goals 1.03.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Lens vs Lorient?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.02. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).