Lecce vs Bologna prediction — Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK

Serie A · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK
25Lecce win27Draw48Bologna win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

Bologna beat Lecce 2–1. Lecce had 19 shots (5 on target) to Bologna's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.

LecceFull-time statsBologna
57%Possession43%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.5
19Shots10
5Shots on target5
14Shots inside box8
2Big chances4
10Corners3
3Saves4
17Fouls8
1Offsides4
3Yellow cards2
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Bologna win (12%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.0v1.5
2.6 in total
Both teams score
50%
Coin flip
3+ goals
47%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LecceLecceBolognaBologna
1.0Goals1.5
8.8Shots19.5
2.7On target5.0
2.8Corners6.4
LecceLecceBolognaBologna
0.7Goals0.7
4.0Shots9.6
1.3On target2.5
1.3Corners3.0
LecceLecceBolognaBologna
0.3Goals0.8
4.8Shots9.8
1.4On target2.6
1.5Corners3.4

What we said the chances were

Bologna to score78%
Goal before half-time76%
3 goals or fewer75%
2 or more goals72%
Lecce to score64%

First half — what we expected

Lecce
51%
to score before half-time
Bologna
52%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LecceLecceBolognaBologna
<10%9+ shots58%
<10%11+ shots38%
68%1+ shots on target89%
16%3+ shots on target43%
36%2+ corners75%
<10%4+ corners35%

League position

Bologna in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Bologna 2–0 Lecce
Sept 2025Lecce 2–2 Bologna
Feb 2025Lecce 0–0 Bologna
Nov 2024Bologna 1–0 Lecce
Feb 2024Bologna 4–0 Lecce
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Lecce form →Bologna form →

Common questions

Who won Lecce vs Bologna?

Bologna beat Lecce 2–1. Lecce had 19 shots (5 on target) to Bologna's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Lecce vs Bologna?

Lecce 1–2 Bologna, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lecce 25%, the draw 27% and Bologna 48%.

What were the stats in Lecce vs Bologna?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.5, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 14–8, Big chances 2–4, Corners 10–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 17–8, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Lecce vs Bologna?

Yes — both Lecce and Bologna scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.