FT · Italy: Serie A · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
AC Milan 2–4 BolognaMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AC Milan win
48%
Draw
26%
Bologna win
25%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.1
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 4
Total 6 (+3.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 3.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.