What we expect
In plain English
Liverpool are the model's pick, without being a certainty. They have won four of their last six, and the model expects them to create about a goal more per game than LASK Linz. The model sees around three goals in it.
What would change the call
Liverpool to win, priced again from the same expected goals if the match reaches these states.
Each row is the call re-priced for that scoreline at half-time. Lineups are not in it — we publish per-player shooting rates, not a squad-strength number, so what a rested front three does to this figure is not something we can honestly put a number on.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
Bawler's model rates this match: Liverpool are favoured (65% win probability vs 15% for LASK Linz, 20% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is LASK Linz 0-2 Liverpool (10.2% probability). Expected total goals: 3.15.
How does Bawler predict LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives LASK Linz 15%, the draw 20% and Liverpool 65%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 0.96 and away expected goals 2.19.
Over or under 2.5 goals in LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.15. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).