FT · England: Premier League · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Liverpool 2–0 Brighton & Hove AlbionMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Liverpool win
45%
Result
Draw
25%
Brighton & Hove Albion win
30%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.4
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.