Bodo/Glimt vs LASK Linz prediction — Champions League · Tue 24 Nov · 17:45 UK

Champions League · Tue 24 Nov · 17:45 UKUpdated Mon 9 Nov, 17:00 UK
66Bodo/Glimt win18Draw16LASK Linz win
The call
66%
Bodo/Glimt to win

Bodo/Glimt v LASK Linz prediction

Bodo/Glimt go into this Champions League match as strong favourites on our numbers: 66% to win, against 16% for LASK Linz and 18% for a draw. Our predicted score is Bodo/Glimt 2–1 LASK Linz (9%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. We expect 3.9 goals in total: 2.7 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.3 for LASK Linz. Both sides are more likely than not to score (67%) and three or more goals is 75%.

In their last six games Bodo/Glimt have two wins, two draws and two defeats, while LASK Linz have three wins, no draws and three defeats. Bodo/Glimt drew their most recent match and LASK Linz won theirs.

We expect Bodo/Glimt to have 9.2 shots (3.3 on target) and LASK Linz 9.7 (4.4 on target), and corners at 3.6 to 2.1.

Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.

Predicted score
2–1
Bodo/Glimt to win · 9% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.7v1.3
3.9 in total
Both teams score
67%
Yes
3+ goals
75%
Likely

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Bodo/GlimtBodo/GlimtLASK LinzLASK Linz
2.7Goals1.3
usually 1.7usually 2.3
9.2Shots9.7
usually 10.3usually 19.2
3.3On target4.4
usually 4.3usually 6.3
3.6Corners2.1
usually 3.5usually 4.8
Bodo/GlimtBodo/GlimtLASK LinzLASK Linz
1.1Goals0.6
4.5Shots4.4
usually 3.0usually 7.3
1.3On target2.0
usually 0.8usually 3.0
1.7Corners1.0
usually 1.2usually 2.5
Bodo/GlimtBodo/GlimtLASK LinzLASK Linz
1.5Goals0.7
4.7Shots5.3
2.0On target2.4
1.9Corners1.1

More chances

Bodo/Glimt to score93%
2 or more goals90%
Goal before half-time82%
LASK Linz to score72%

Bodo/Glimt · last 6

Dv Lille0–04 shots
Lat Napoli3–415 shots
Wv Borussia Dortmund1–011 shots
Lat Bayern München0–53 shots
Wv NEC Nijmegen3–021 shots
Wat NEC Nijmegen3–18 shots

LASK Linz · last 6

Wv Slovan Bratislava4–029 shots
Wat Sporting CP3–211 shots
Lv Liverpool3–612 shots
Lat AEK Athens0–111 shots
Wv Celtic4–132 shots
Lat Celtic0–320 shots

League position

LASK Linz in their league tableTop quarter

First half — what we expect

Bodo/Glimt
68%
to score before half-time
LASK Linz
43%
to score before half-time

First-half chances

How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.

Bodo/GlimtBodo/GlimtLASK LinzLASK Linz
61%4+ shots59%
32%6+ shots30%
68%1+ shots on target82%
16%3+ shots on target32%
76%1+ corners56%
25%3+ corners10%

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

Bodo/Glimt to win is 66% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

Bodo/Glimt lead 1–0 at half-time82%
LASK Linz lead 1–0 at half-time25%
Goalless at half-time53%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Build a combination on this match →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Bodo/Glimt form →LASK Linz form →

Common questions

Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs LASK Linz?

Bawler's model rates this match: Bodo/Glimt are favoured (66% win probability vs 16% for LASK Linz, 18% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Bodo/Glimt vs LASK Linz?

Bawler's predicted score is Bodo/Glimt 2-1 LASK Linz: the most likely score if Bodo/Glimt win, which is the likeliest result (66%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.7%. Expected total goals: 3.9.

How does Bawler predict Bodo/Glimt vs LASK Linz?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Bodo/Glimt 66%, the draw 18% and LASK Linz 16%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs LASK Linz?

Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 67% chance. That is based on Bodo/Glimt expecting 2.65 goals and LASK Linz 1.29.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Bodo/Glimt vs LASK Linz?

Bawler's model expects 3.9 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 75%.

When are the Bodo/Glimt v LASK Linz line-ups announced?

Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.