LAFC vs San Diego FC prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 03:30 UK
LAFC 40Draw 28San Diego FC 32
The call
68%
LAFC or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

San Diego FC beat LAFC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave San Diego FC 32%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLAFC 40%San Diego FC (32% called)
Total goals3.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callLAFC or Draw 68%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
LAFC to score84%
San Diego FC to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LAF 0 · D 1 · SAN 2
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2026San Diego FC 2–2 Los Angeles FC
Sept 2025Los Angeles FC 1–2 San Diego FC
Mar 2025San Diego FC 3–2 Los Angeles FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won LAFC vs San Diego FC?

San Diego FC beat LAFC 1–0. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave San Diego FC 32%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored.

What was the final score in LAFC vs San Diego FC?

LAFC 0–1 San Diego FC, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LAFC 40%, the draw 28% and San Diego FC 32%.

Did both teams score in LAFC vs San Diego FC?

No. It finished 0–1, so LAFC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for LAFC vs San Diego FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said LAFC 40%, it finished San Diego FC (32% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said LAFC or Draw 68%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →LAFC form →San Diego FC form →