How it finished
Dundee United beat Kilmarnock 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Kilmarnock at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 32%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Kilmarnock had 16 shots (4 on target) to Dundee United's 21 (8), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 79%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Dundee United beat Kilmarnock 4–0. Bawler's model favoured Kilmarnock at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee United 32%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Kilmarnock had 16 shots (4 on target) to Dundee United's 21 (8), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 3.5.
What was the final score in Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kilmarnock 43%, the draw 24% and Dundee United 32%.
What were the stats in Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–3.5, Shots 16–21, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 10–15, Big chances 0–6, Corners 3–5, Saves 4–5, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
No. It finished 0–4, so Kilmarnock failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Kilmarnock 43%, it finished Dundee United (32% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 84%, it finished Landed.