Ipswich Town beat Fulham 2–1. Ipswich Town had 11 shots (5 on target) to Fulham's 13 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.8, so Fulham created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Ipswich Town beat Fulham 2–1. Ipswich Town had 11 shots (5 on target) to Fulham's 13 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.8, so Fulham created the better chances and still lost the game.
Ipswich Town 2–1 Fulham, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ipswich Town 33%, the draw 26% and Fulham 40%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.8, Shots 11–13, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 7–9, Big chances 2–3, Corners 2–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
Yes — both Ipswich Town and Fulham scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.