FT · England: EFL Cup · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Fulham 0–1 Crystal PalaceMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Fulham win
41%
Draw
26%
Crystal Palace win
33%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.4
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.