How it finished
Gaziantep FK beat Goztepe 4–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Gaziantep FK 20%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Goztepe had 19 shots (4 on target) to Gaziantep FK's 13 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 3.1 to 1.2, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Goztepe vs Gaziantep FK?
Gaziantep FK beat Goztepe 4–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Gaziantep FK 20%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. Goztepe had 19 shots (4 on target) to Gaziantep FK's 13 (6), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 3.1 to 1.2, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Goztepe vs Gaziantep FK?
Goztepe 2–4 Gaziantep FK, played on 07 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Goztepe 57%, the draw 23% and Gaziantep FK 20%.
What were the stats in Goztepe vs Gaziantep FK?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–1.2, Shots 19–13, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 16–7, Big chances 3–6, Corners 8–3, Saves 2–2, Fouls 18–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Goztepe vs Gaziantep FK?
Yes — both Goztepe and Gaziantep FK scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Goztepe vs Gaziantep FK right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Goztepe or draw 80%, it finished Gaziantep FK won (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.