How it finished
Genoa and Frosinone drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Genoa at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Genoa had 17 shots (5 on target) to Frosinone's 27 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Genoa vs Frosinone?
Genoa and Frosinone drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Genoa at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Genoa had 17 shots (5 on target) to Frosinone's 27 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.0.
What was the final score in Genoa vs Frosinone?
Genoa 1–1 Frosinone, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genoa 45%, the draw 27% and Frosinone 28%.
What were the stats in Genoa vs Frosinone?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–2.0, Shots 17–27, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 12–16, Big chances 2–1, Corners 8–9, Saves 5–4, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Genoa vs Frosinone?
Yes — both Genoa and Frosinone scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Genoa vs Frosinone right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Genoa or draw 72%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.