What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Genoa vs Frosinone?
Bawler's model rates this match: Genoa are favoured (45% win probability vs 27% for Frosinone, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Frosinone?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Genoa 1-1 Frosinone (13.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.57.
How does Bawler predict Genoa vs Frosinone?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Genoa 45%, the draw 28% and Frosinone 27%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Frosinone?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.48 and away expected goals 1.09.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Genoa vs Frosinone?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.57. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).