FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Parma 2–1 GenoaMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Parma win
31%
Result
Draw
29%
Genoa win
40%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.3
Total 2.4
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.3 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.4.