FT · Italy: Serie A · Thursday, 29 October 2026
Fiorentina 2–2 AtalantaMatch recap · Thursday, 29 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Fiorentina win
38%
Draw
26%
Result
Atalanta win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.5
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.