FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Genoa 1–0 VeneziaMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Genoa win
49%
Result
Draw
25%
Venezia win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.2
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.3 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.