How it finished
Como beat Genoa 4–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. Genoa had 11 shots (2 on target) to Como's 20 (9), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Genoa vs Como?
Como beat Genoa 4–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. Genoa had 11 shots (2 on target) to Como's 20 (9), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Genoa vs Como?
Genoa 1–4 Como, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genoa 23%, the draw 27% and Como 50%.
What were the stats in Genoa vs Como?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.5, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 2–9, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–4, Saves 5–1, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 6–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Genoa vs Como?
Yes — both Genoa and Como scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Genoa vs Como right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Como or draw 77%, it finished Como won (50% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed.