FT · Italy: Serie A · Monday, 14 September 2026
Como 2–1 ParmaMatch recap · Monday, 14 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Como win
69%
Result
Draw
20%
Parma win
10%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 0.7
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.2 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.