Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 29 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 29 Aug · 19:30 UK
Gaziantep FK 39Draw 26Caykur Rizespor 35
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Caykur Rizespor beat Gaziantep FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Caykur Rizespor 35%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 16 shots (4 on target) to Caykur Rizespor's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.9.

Gaziantep FKFull-time statsCaykur…
56%Possession44%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.9
16Shots10
4Shots on target4
10Shots inside box5
1Big chances3
8Corners0
2Saves4
10Fouls17
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultGaziantep FK 39%Caykur Rizespor (35% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score60%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
Gaziantep FK to score78%
Caykur Rizespor to score76%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Gaziantep FKBefore half-timeCaykur Rizespor
55%Chance to score47%
4.7Expected shots8.1
1.7Expected shots on target2.6
1.2Expected corners3.1
22%Chance of 7+ shots68%
7%Chance of 9+ shots42%
52%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
10%Chance of 4+ shots on target27%
32%Chance of 2+ corners79%
4%Chance of 4+ corners37%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor?

Caykur Rizespor beat Gaziantep FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Caykur Rizespor 35%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 16 shots (4 on target) to Caykur Rizespor's 10 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor?

Gaziantep FK 1–2 Caykur Rizespor, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gaziantep FK 39%, the draw 26% and Caykur Rizespor 35%.

What were the stats in Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.9, Shots 16–10, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 1–3, Corners 8–0, Saves 2–4, Fouls 10–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor?

Yes — both Gaziantep FK and Caykur Rizespor scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Caykur Rizespor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Gaziantep FK 39%, it finished Caykur Rizespor (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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