Galatasaray beat Kocaelispor 1–0. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Galatasaray had 28 shots (9 on target) to Kocaelispor's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 62%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Galatasaray beat Kocaelispor 1–0. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Galatasaray had 28 shots (9 on target) to Kocaelispor's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.8.
Galatasaray 1–0 Kocaelispor, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Galatasaray 67%, the draw 21% and Kocaelispor 12%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.8, Shots 28–12, Shots on target 9–1, Shots inside box 19–10, Big chances 4–1, Corners 16–3, Saves 1–8, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so Kocaelispor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Galatasaray to win 67%, it finished Galatasaray won (67% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.