Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 13 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 13 Sept · 18:00 UK
Galatasaray 67Draw 21Kocaelispor 12
Our call before kickoff
67%
Galatasaray to win
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
62%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Galatasaray beat Kocaelispor 1–0. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Galatasaray had 28 shots (9 on target) to Kocaelispor's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.8.

GalatasarayFull-time statsKocaelispor
61%Possession39%
2.4Expected goals (xG)0.8
28Shots12
9Shots on target1
19Shots inside box10
4Big chances1
16Corners3
1Saves8
13Fouls10
1Offsides2
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGalatasaray to win 67%Galatasaray won (67% called)
Total goals2.81
Both teams to score46%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GalatasarayKocaelispor
2.1
Goals+1.3
0.7
16.6
Shots+9.8
6.9
8.3
On target+4.9
3.4
4.9
Corners+2.4
2.5
GalatasarayKocaelispor
0.5
Goals+0.3
0.2
7.7
Shots+4.6
3.1
3.3
On target+1.7
1.5
2.3
Corners+1.1
1.2
GalatasarayKocaelispor
1.5
Goals+1.0
0.5
9.0
Shots+5.2
3.8
5.0
On target+3.2
1.9
2.6
Corners+1.3
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Galatasaray to score87%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Galatasaray
52%
to score before half-time
Kocaelispor
20%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 62%

GalatasarayKocaelispor
7.71st-half shots3.1
3.31st-half shots on target1.5
2.31st-half corners1.2

First-half chances

59%Chance of 7+ shots<10%
37%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
80%Chance of 2+ shots on target43%
40%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
86%Chance of 1+ corners63%
39%Chance of 3+ corners14%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Galatasaray7.79.0
Shots · Kocaelispor3.13.8
Shots on target · Galatasaray3.35.0
Shots on target · Kocaelispor1.51.9
Corners · Galatasaray2.32.6
Corners · Kocaelispor1.21.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Galatasaray 0 · Draws 1 · Kocaelispor 1
Kocaelispor in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Galatasaray 1–1 Kocaelispor
Nov 2025Kocaelispor 1–0 Galatasaray
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

Galatasaray beat Kocaelispor 1–0. Bawler's model had Galatasaray in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Galatasaray had 28 shots (9 on target) to Kocaelispor's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

Galatasaray 1–0 Kocaelispor, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Galatasaray 67%, the draw 21% and Kocaelispor 12%.

What were the stats in Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.8, Shots 28–12, Shots on target 9–1, Shots inside box 19–10, Big chances 4–1, Corners 16–3, Saves 1–8, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor?

No. It finished 1–0, so Kocaelispor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Galatasaray to win 67%, it finished Galatasaray won (67% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Galatasaray form →Kocaelispor form →