How it finished
Frosinone beat Venezia 3–2. Bawler's model had Frosinone in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Frosinone had 13 shots (8 on target) to Venezia's 15 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.2, so Venezia created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Frosinone vs Venezia?
Frosinone beat Venezia 3–2. Bawler's model had Frosinone in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Frosinone had 13 shots (8 on target) to Venezia's 15 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.2, so Venezia created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Frosinone vs Venezia?
Frosinone 3–2 Venezia, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Frosinone 39%, the draw 28% and Venezia 34%.
What were the stats in Frosinone vs Venezia?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.2, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 2–5, Fouls 18–14, Offsides 6–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in Frosinone vs Venezia?
Yes — both Frosinone and Venezia scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Frosinone vs Venezia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Frosinone or draw 66%, it finished Frosinone won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.